The World Health Organisation, WHO has said there could be 10,000 new cases of Ebola Virus Disease, EVD per week within two months. Health officials said that 8,914 cases of Ebola have now been reported in West Africa, including 4,447 deaths.
WHO Assistant Director General, Bruce Aylward told a press conference in Geneva Tuesday that the total was expected to top 9,000 by the end of this week. He warned that the death rate from the current outbreak has now risen to 70 per cent. It was previously estimated at about 50 per cent.
When asked how the situation would emerge over the next couple of months, he said: “It’s impossible to look into a glass ball and say we’re going to have this many or that many (cases) but we anticipate the number of cases occurring per week by that time to be somewhere between 5,000 and 10,000 per week.
“It could be higher, it could be lower, but somewhere in that ball park.” But he said there were some positive indications that the rate of spread of the disease may be slowing in some of the areas where it first struck. Some 95 per cent of the cases are occurring in the same limited number of districts of Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea which were affected a month ago, he said.
Dr Aylward said it was “too early to say” whether this meant that the epidemic was slowing down and that the feared exponential growth in cases may not materialise.