Why We Cut Nigeria’s Growth Projections – IMF 

single-image
The International Monetary Fund, IMF, on Tuesday gave reasons why it cut the growth projection of Nigeria. According to Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, deputy director at IMF’s research department, Nigeria’s growth projection was reduced because the country’s economy is doing poorly. Milesi-Ferretti disclosed this at the ongoing annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank Group in Bali, Indonesia. In the World Economic Outlook report released in July, the Bretton Wood institution had projected that Nigeria’s economy would grow by 2.1 percent in 2018 and 2.3 percent in 2019. In the October edition of the report, IMF cut the growth projections for 2018 to 1.9 percent. Moreover, Milesi-Ferretti further disclosed that the aggregate growth rate of Africa is being held down by three largest economies, which are Nigeria, South Africa and Angola. “The aggregate growth rate for the continent is held down by the fact that the three largest economies are not performing up to their full potential,” he said. “Nigeria’s growth, 1.9 percent this year; 2.3 next year. South Africa, only 0.8 percent this year. Angola, contracting by 0.1 percent this year. So the aggregate — over three percent this year, close to four percent next year — is despite the largest economies in the continent doing poorly. “The continent could do much better once these economies are on a more solid footing, particularly South Africa and Nigeria because they are really large and affect a number of countries in their neighbourhood.” “In Nigeria and Angola, tighter monetary policy and moderation in food price increases contributed to tapering inflation. In Nigeria, inflation is projected to fall to 12.4 percent in 2018, from 16.5 percent in 2017, and to rise to 13.5 percent in 2019,” the report read. The World Bank recently cut its growth projection for Nigeria by 0.2% citing reduction in oil production levels, and contraction in the agricultural sector, following the herder-farmer crisis.
ads

Latest in this Category

ads